February 16, 2019

General election 2017: Len McCluskey ‘can’t see Labour winning

093One of Jeremy Corbyn’s key allies, Unite boss Len McCluskey, has said he cannot see Labour winning the election.
The union leader told Politico that a Labour victory on 8 June would be “extraordinary” given the state of the party and criticism of it in the media.
He suggested winning 200 seats – nearly 30 fewer than in 2015 – would be a “successful” result for Mr Corbyn.
It came as Labour and the Tories clashed over Labour’s plans to nationalise two key industries.
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The Conservatives said bringing the National Grid and the water industry back into public ownership, which would require a future Labour government to compensate existing shareholders, would add £14bn to the national debt in one year alone and claimed there was a £58bn “black hole” across all of Labour’s manifesto plans.
Labour said this was “absolute rubbish” and that the Tories were trying to “avoid scrutiny of their own spending plans”.
Its manifesto – published on Tuesday – did not set out how plans to nationalise the National Grid and the water industry would be funded.
But the party, which has also pledged to nationalise the railways and Royal Mail, said it could be done at no net expense to the public purse and that consumers would see their bills come down by as much as £220 a year.
In other election developments:
The Lib Dems say their manifesto, due out later, will offer young people a “brighter future”
They are promising cheap bus fares, support to get on the housing ladder and a second Brexit vote
The Green Party is proposing free sanitary products for women in financial need
Mr McCluskey’s intervention came hours after Mr Corbyn launched his party’s manifesto, which the Labour leader described as a “programme of hope” and which included billions for schools and the NHS and an expansion of free childcare.
The leader of the UK’s biggest union said he was supportive of the manifesto but was not “optimistic” about Labour’s chances on 8 June, given the hostility which he said it faced in large sections of the media.
“In terms of the imagery of Jeremy, that’s a huge task,” Politico quoted him as saying.
“He’s got now just under four weeks to try to see if you can break through that image and it’s going to be a very, very difficult task… whether that breakthrough can happen, we’ll wait and see.”
He added: “People like me are always optimistic… things can happen. But I don’t see Labour winning.”
He went on to suggest that if Labour emerged with 200 seats – which would be about 30 fewer than Ed Miliband secured in 2015 – it would represent a “successful campaign” given the circumstances it found itself in. Should that happen, it would be Labour’s worst result since 1935.
“I believe that if Labour can hold on to 200 seats or so it will be a successful campaign,” he said.
“It will mean that Theresa May will have had an election, will have increased her majority but not dramatically.”
Mr Corbyn was earlier in the campaign as saying he would stay on whatever the result of the election, citing the mandate he had from his leadership victories in 2015 and 2016.
Both Gordon Brown and Ed Miliband resigned after leading Labour to defeats in 2010 and 2015 but, amid speculation that jockeying for position has already begun, there have been suggestions that Mr Corbyn could stay on if he equals the 30.4% vote share that Ed Miliband got in 2015.
‘Made-up numbers’
Labour is defending its plans to exert state control over key utilities amid uncertainty over what the final price tag will be and how it will be paid for.
It said it would not put an “arbitrary figure” on how much it would cost to nationalise England’s water companies and the National Grid, saying the compensation due to existing shareholders would depend on a range of factors and would ultimately be decided by Parliament.
But it said it would be achieved by exchanging government bonds for shares in the companies and, since profits currently used to pay dividends would be used instead to pay interest on those bonds, there would be “no net cost” to the exchequer.
The Conservatives criticised “the premise that nationalising the water market and energy grid don’t add to borrowing”, saying the result would inevitably be higher taxes or rising bills.
“Jeremy Corbyn can’t deliver any of this,” a Tory spokesman said.
“These are made up numbers, based on a shambolic manifesto with a £58bn black hole at its heart. While his figures are a fantasy, it is ordinary working families who will pay.”
Labour, which has said it would return the railways to public ownership as franchises expire, has also made a series of multi-billion-pound spending commitments on health and education.
It insists they are fully costed and will be covered by tax rises, including increasing corporation tax from 19% to 26% and raising the top rate of tax for earnings above £80,000 to 45p and to 50p for income over £123,000.
But the Institute for Fiscal Studies has said it is “genuinely uncertain” whether increases to income tax would raise the £6.4bn Labour has suggested, adding that they would be a “big increase” for high earners.

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